Breakaway Transition: The Clear Failure of Haitian Actors?
By La Rédaction · Port-au-Prince · · 3 min read · Updated 24 April 2026
Translated from French — AI-assisted and reviewed by the editorial team. The French version is authoritative. Read the original · About our translation policy
A few months before the symbolic date of February 7, 2026, which is supposed to mark the end of the current transition, doubt hangs more than ever over the capacity of the Transitional Presidential Council (CPT) to keep its commitments. Between persistent insecurity, political rivalries, rumors of a cabinet reshuffle, and implicit admissions of failure regarding the electoral calendar, the outcome of this transitional period appears mixed, if not disappointing.
Promises of Rupture Slow to Materialize
When the Transitional Presidential Council was established following the April 3, 2024 agreement, it set itself the mission of putting the country back on track: restoring security, organizing a national conference, initiating institutional reforms, and preparing elections.
Almost at the end of their mandate, none of these priority projects has truly progressed. Insecurity, far from being curbed, continues to dictate the daily lives of the population. Metropolitan areas remain under the control of armed groups, and announced security operations struggle to produce lasting results.
As for the national conference, intended to be an inclusive dialogue space on the country's political and institutional future, it was implemented, then abruptly halted by government authorities without any explanation.
Increasingly Uncertain Elections
Presidential advisor Frinel Joseph recently acknowledged that elections might not be held before February 2026, while reaffirming the Council's commitment to respect the April 3, 2024 agreement.
A confession fraught with contradictions: how can one claim to respect an agreement whose main provisions are not being executed? This official recognition of a possible electoral postponement sheds harsh light on the current political impasse. Electoral preparations have not yet begun, the institutions meant to oversee them (notably the Provisional Electoral Council) are not yet fully operational, and the minimal security conditions for a credible election remain absent. Rivalries and Internal Fragilities at the Top of the State In addition to this institutional paralysis, there are persistent rumors of discord within the government. Several sources mention a possible cabinet reshuffle, or even the replacement of the Prime Minister. Contacted by the editorial team, spokespersons for the Presidency and the Prime Minister's Office did not respond to our inquiries. The executive's silence fuels speculation about the depth of internal disagreements and the Council's ability to maintain minimal cohesion to see the transition through. A Blurred Political Horizon Faced with these uncertainties, the population remains doubtful. The weariness of the transition and the lack of tangible results have eroded confidence, both nationally and internationally.
Foreign partners, who had initially welcomed the establishment of the CPT as a step towards stability, now observe the turn of events with caution and skepticism. Unless there is a major political resurgence in the coming months, there is a high risk that the transition will get bogged down, prolonging the cycle of instability that the country has been desperately trying to break for years. In summary, the transition was meant to be one of political reconstruction and the restoration of trust. Today, it stands as one of disillusionment and waiting. And while the Presidential Council claims to want to 'respect the April 3 agreement,' the facts, however, seem to tell a completely different story.
A confession fraught with contradictions: how can one claim to respect an agreement whose main provisions are not being executed? This official recognition of a possible electoral postponement sheds harsh light on the current political impasse. Electoral preparations have not yet begun, the institutions meant to oversee them (notably the Provisional Electoral Council) are not yet fully operational, and the minimal security conditions for a credible election remain absent. Rivalries and Internal Fragilities at the Top of the State In addition to this institutional paralysis, there are persistent rumors of discord within the government. Several sources mention a possible cabinet reshuffle, or even the replacement of the Prime Minister. Contacted by the editorial team, spokespersons for the Presidency and the Prime Minister's Office did not respond to our inquiries. The executive's silence fuels speculation about the depth of internal disagreements and the Council's ability to maintain minimal cohesion to see the transition through. A Blurred Political Horizon Faced with these uncertainties, the population remains doubtful. The weariness of the transition and the lack of tangible results have eroded confidence, both nationally and internationally.
Foreign partners, who had initially welcomed the establishment of the CPT as a step towards stability, now observe the turn of events with caution and skepticism. Unless there is a major political resurgence in the coming months, there is a high risk that the transition will get bogged down, prolonging the cycle of instability that the country has been desperately trying to break for years. In summary, the transition was meant to be one of political reconstruction and the restoration of trust. Today, it stands as one of disillusionment and waiting. And while the Presidential Council claims to want to 'respect the April 3 agreement,' the facts, however, seem to tell a completely different story.
